Posts by Darryl H

Introduction Investors today face a fundamental challenge: how to achieve consistent, high returns while effectively managing risk. Many active strategies struggle to outperform passive benchmarks over time, and market volatility makes traditional approaches prone to deep drawdowns. However, a well-constructed quantitative model can offer an edge by systematically selecting stocks that balance value, growth, momentum,…

A four-factor investment model that incorporates value, growth, momentum, and quality can be particularly effective during inflationary times, especially when the POTUS insists on tariffs, which can introduce additional economic uncertainty and market volatility. This approach leverages the strengths of each factor to create a diversified and resilient equity portfolio, while quarterly rebalancing helps to…

The dot-com bubble is often described as a period of excessive speculation in internet-based companies, but a deeper analysis reveals that it was not just about overhyped tech stocks. Instead, the broader market conditions leading up to 2000 played a crucial role in setting the stage for the crash. The S&P 500 had delivered exceptionally…

Investing is a journey often characterized by market volatility, economic cycles, and emotional highs and lows. For investors seeking to build wealth, adopting a long-term perspective is essential. The benefits of focusing on the big picture rather than short-term fluctuations are well-documented, providing both psychological and financial advantages. A three-factor investment model—centered on value, growth,…

Reversion to the mean is a cornerstone of investment theory, reflecting the idea that over time, financial markets tend to revert to their long-term averages. While the concept is straightforward, its implications for investment decision-making are more nuanced, especially when considering the interplay between short-term and long-term performance metrics. Investors who focus solely on short-term…

In recent years, a notable trend has emerged among younger investors: an increasing reluctance to engage with the stock market. While this skepticism may be rooted in perceptions of risk, lack of excitement, or even disillusionment with traditional investment approaches, this demographic might be overlooking the potential benefits of a more tailored investment strategy. By…

The frequent attention to stock market indices reaching new highs may seem like a sign of economic strength, but for the majority of investors, this focus is neither highly relevant nor particularly informative. While headlines about record-breaking market highs may generate excitement, they often provide little context about long-term investment value, market stability, or individual…

Warren Buffett’s iconic quote, “Wall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway,” encapsulates a profound truth about investor behavior. It highlights the disconnect between the perceived expertise of financial professionals and their often-limited ability to consistently outperform the market. At…

The inverted yield curve, a phenomenon where short-term interest rates exceed long-term interest rates, has long been viewed as a harbinger of economic recession. However, recent events have challenged this conventional wisdom, highlighting the complex interplay between interest rates, banking health, and the broader economy. Traditionally, an inverted yield curve signals a potential recession due…

Warren Buffett’s profound observation, “Success in investing doesn’t correlate with IQ once you’re above the level of 25,” highlights a crucial truth often overlooked by many investors: emotional intelligence plays a far greater role than intellectual prowess in achieving financial success. While intelligence is undoubtedly beneficial, it’s the ability to control emotions and avoid impulsive…